How many US troops will be officially stationed in Venezuela on the 1st of June 2026?
7
Ṁ1kṀ653Jun 2
714 Troops
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
38%
0
8%
1 - 50
12%
51 - 200
14%
201 - 500
8%
501 - 1000
7%
1001 - 2000
7%
2001 - 5000
6%
5001+
Trump says that the US is "running" Venezuela. To what extent does this imply boots on the ground for the foreseeable?
Resolves based on a consensus of credible reports
In the absence of exact reporting, resolves to my best judgement based on the available information (I may resolve to %)
PMCs don't count, members of any branch of the US armed forces or intelligence agencies do (as long as they are publicly admitted). This includes e.g. secret service members protecting high ranking US officials, generals/admirals on site advising, and soldiers stationed at the embassy in Caracas.
Resolution criteria subject to revision/clarifications for the next 7 days.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
any U.S. federal official visit Venezuela before June 1, 2026?
28% chance
On 1 April 2026: who is the de facto executive authority in Caracas?
Will another USA attack happens in Venezuelan soil in 2026?
35% chance
Will Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?
25% chance
Will the US have 5 consecutive days of active military operations in Venezuela at any point in 2026?
37% chance
Which of the following things will happen in 2026 as a result of the US Attack on Venezuela?
Will a presidential election be held in Venezuela in february 2026?
2% chance
Will Australia deploy troops to Venezuela in support of US forces before 2028?
5% chance
Will Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026?
73% chance
Military conflict between the US and Venezuela in 2026?
99% chance