
Will an antibiotic peptide from Santos-Junior et al 2024 be used to cure a human of an infection before 2035?
3
Ṁ1kṀ752035
48%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Lots of twitter hype about this paper:
https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(24)00522-1
See:
https://x.com/Dr_Singularity/status/1798725205420048708?t=jPhmD73juLsuSatZsrIciQ&s=19
And the quote tweets/replies.
Will an antibiotic peptide candidate found in this paper (so anything listed on https://ampsphere.big-data-biology.org/) or a derivative be used to cure an infection in a human? Counts if used in a clinical trial or a reasonably trustworthy rogue biohacker does it themselves.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
By 2070, will there be a cure to aging?
39% chance
FDA-approved phage therapy by 2030?
59% chance
By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
11% chance
Will a human-proven cure for aging that increases life expectancy by at least 20 years exist by 2036?
28% chance
Will all infectious diseases of all types be effectively eliminated from human civilization before 2040?
6% chance
Will at least one human be cured of a prion disease by EOY 2045?
89% chance
By 2040, will there be a cure to aging?
46% chance
By 2060, will there be a cure to aging?
42% chance
Will we get a new biological weapon (like a virus, bacteria or fungi) before 2030
62% chance
By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
40% chance