New Firefly before new Team Fortress 2 weapon?

Question

Team Fortress 2.

By new TF2 weapon I mean a weapon with new stats.

Reskins that technically have minor gameplay variations don't count. For instance, The Original wouldn't count. Neither do reskins with glitches.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, New Firefly first and New TF2 weapon first are most likely. See the market for live updates (4 traders, as of Mar 23, 2026).

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