When will Twitter get money transmitter licenses for all 50 US states?
When will Twitter get money transmitter licenses for all 50 US states?
5
340Ṁ3082027
5%
2024 Q1
6%
2024 Q2
17%
2024 Q3
17%
2024 Q4
11%
2025 Q1 or Q2
10%
2025 Q3 or Q4
14%
2026
20%
2027 or later, including Never
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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