From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question resolves as Yes if the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) in November 2025 is lower than it was in November 2024, as reported by the St. Louis Fed at the following location:
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average (CPIAUCSL)
If the 12-month percentage change in the CPI in November 2025 is greater than or equal to where it was in November 2024, this question resolves as No.
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@WalterMartin This can resolve YES, the page has been updated with November 2025 data, and will not be updated again before the close date
@SaviorofPlant please note the resolution criteria for this market are based on Metaculus, not my own reading of the numbers.