Will Neom (The Line city, Saudi Arabia) build at least 1km in 2025?
Will Neom (The Line city, Saudi Arabia) build at least 1km in 2025?
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17%
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https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/saudi-arabia-scales-back-neom-plans-focus-world-cup-asian-games
The project is likely scaled down quite a bit, but they have the hard goal of building a football stadium for the 2034 FIFA World Cup and are currently claiming that they will have 2.4km of The Line along with that stadium.
1km of building means 1km of The Line, not something like "if you unwrap the walls of the stadium it gets you 800m in a straight line".
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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