Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?
14
10kṀ955
2026
14%
chance

From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

I will resolve this according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question will resolve as Yes if, during calendar year 2025, Israel establishes a formal government in the Gaza Strip headed primarily by Israelis or otherwise takes formal control of key territory in the Gaza Strip.

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