Will "Don't Build It" March happen before Dec. 31, 2030? | Manifold

Will "Don't Build It" March happen before Dec. 31, 2030?

4

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2030

29%

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If organisers of https://ifanyonebuildsit.com/march announce the march to occur according to this announcement before Dec. 31, 2030, they do not cancel it afterward, and the march occurs before Dec. 31, 2030, it resolves as "Yes". Otherwise it resolves as No.
If organisers change the threshold for the number of people or location, it resolves as No.
If the march occurs at the provided location (Washington, DC) and the number of people pledged exceeds 100k, it resolves as Yes, regardless of the actual number of people who came to the march, counted by whatever sources.

March to Stop Superintelligence | If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies

Join the Washington DC march to stop the race to superintelligence and advocate for strong safeguards.

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