
Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?
17
Ṁ100Ṁ4512028
92%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For this market, "world leader" is defined as any head of government or head of state of any country which has a population of at least five million people. Will any such major world leader call for a global pause on AI development/progress before the end of 2027? The pause would not need to be absolute to qualify, but a pause on certain use cases (eg, weaponry or surveillance) would not suffice.
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a global pause on the largest AI training runs at any point before AGI?
44% chance
Conditional on humanity surviving to 2035, will a global AI pause have been enacted?
43% chance
Will there be an international moratorium on frontier AGI development by EOY 2033?
26% chance
Will a major tech company publicly pause or limit AI development due to safety concerns before January 1, 2027?
76% chance
Will Joe Biden publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
11% chance
Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
16% chance
Will Xi Jinping publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
12% chance
Will Emmanuel Macron publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
12% chance
Will Vladimir Putin publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
13% chance
Will Narendra Modi publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
20% chance