MANIFOLD
Which NATO countries will start fighting in 🇺🇦 Ukraine in 2025
27
Ṁ275Ṁ5k
resolved Jan 8
Resolved
NO
🇩🇪 Germany
Resolved
NO
🇱🇷 USA
Resolved
NO
🇲🇨 Poland
Resolved
NO
🇫🇷 France
Resolved
NO
🇬🇧 Britain
Resolved
NO
🇨🇿 Czech
Resolved
NO
🇸🇰 Slovakia
Resolved
NO
🇹🇷 Türkiye
Resolved
NO
🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹 Baltic States
Resolved
NO
🇭🇺 Hungary
Resolved
NO
🇩🇰 Denmark

June 20, 2025

  • Currently, NATO comprises 32 member states.

  • No NATO country is currently officially fighting in Ukraine, but some individual countries are preparing to become more militarily active

What is necessary for a “Yes”?

  • At least one credible, publicly known military action in Ukraine, within the year 2025, which is consistently referred to as an “intervention” or “combat operation” by multiple media outlets.

Examples:

  • Troops actively participate in combat operations in Ukraine.

  • An official operation begins on Ukrainian soil (e.g., airstrikes, reconnaissance flights with a combat mission).

  • There are public reports about an active military intervention.

  • Reputable media report this as a “military intervention,” “combat deployment,” or “XY involvement in the war.”

  • Sources such as Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch, or UN reports.

What is a “No”?

  • Arms deliveries, reconnaissance, or training in third countries

  • Violations of the UN prohibition on the use of force that do not meet the criteria for a “Yes”

  • Support through intelligence information and economic sanctions

  • Non NATO Countries like North Korea

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ247
2Ṁ55
3Ṁ43
4Ṁ37
5Ṁ29
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy