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MANIFOLD
In which year will there be 10,000 confirmed exoplanets?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ566
2029
1%
2024
1%
2025
7%
2026
10%
2027
15%
2028
66%
Other

Resolves at the year the number of confirmed exoplanets goes above 10,000, as recorded by the NASA Exoplanet Archive.

Related market for whether there will be 10k confirmed exoplanets before the end of 2025:

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