
Will any U.S. State have more than 2,000,000 customers without power in 2025?
18
Ṁ100Ṁ4kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will attempt to check https://poweroutage.us/ at least once per day (or much more often) and this will resolve to Yes if any state has 2,000,000+ customers without power. I will be the sole person checking for resolution so it is possible that an extremely transient event will be missed. I will not resolve based on others noting in the comments that it has occurred but if I notice the comment I will check and resolve if the condition still exists. I will also see if following on FB or twitter helps and may enlist others in my circle to make it more likely I notice.
To clarify this will only apply to the 50 US States.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ465 | |
| 2 | Ṁ397 | |
| 3 | Ṁ49 | |
| 4 | Ṁ48 | |
| 5 | Ṁ18 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be at least one major U.S. blackout caused by a cyberattack by 2027?
19% chance
Will sabotage cause 250k+ power outage in a U.S. megacity by 2026?
7% chance
Will there be multiple new US states by the end of 2030?
10% chance
How much utility-scale solar power will the US install in 2025?
Will the US use more than 4,400 TWh in 2026?
42% chance
Will any city >50k have energy "too cheap to meter" by 2035?
19% chance
Electricity generation per capita: Will China overtake the US by end of 2035?
45% chance
Will there be a new US State by 2055?
51% chance
Electricity price in the US decreases by 20% or more from 2020 levels before 2035
17% chance
In 10 years, will the USA have an average cost of electricity below 1/10th of its current price?
11% chance
