Will an AI like Operator work faster than human comprehension by May?

22

Ṁ1kṀ14k

resolved May 1

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Roon tweet seems to suggest that significant speed-related improvements are coming to agents.

https://x.com/tszzl/status/1887571084926652755

Market resolves YES if any evidence of an agent that is approximately as powerful as Operator but operates at speeds that make it hard to comprehend is published by anyone, by or on April 30th AoE.

Resolution will mostly be subjective to me, but in the case of high stakes can be resolved by a poll.

https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/launch?iso=20250501T00&p0=3399&msg=Operator+go+brrr&font=sanserif

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@Soaffine Resolves NO

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Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?

Will AI figure out who has the highest processing speed to working memory ratio by 2030?

Will an AI system capable of doing 50% of knowledge job arrive by 2027?

Will an AI system capable of doing tasks that take humans eight hours as determined by METR.org, exist by 2027

Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?

Will AI be capable of fast self improvement before physical AI robots are massively used for improving AI capabilities?

Will an AI simulate human consciousness by 2100?

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate equivalent to ~=200 man years of effort towards a software 1.0 given a prompt?

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