Epic Universe theme park has over 10 million visitors in first year of operation (May 22, 2025 - May 21, 2026)
Epic Universe theme park has over 10 million visitors in first year of operation (May 22, 2025 - May 21, 2026)
2
100Ṁ152026
52%
chance
1D
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Based on analysis from MoffettNathanson suggesting an 8+ million visitor boost across Universal parks over 2 years, and comparisons to Magic Kingdom's daily attendance of 55-60k visitors. Resolution source will be Universal's annual attendance report or credible theme park attendance tracking sources like TEA/AECOM Global Attractions Attendance Report.
Resolves YES if Epic Universe's total attendance for the specified period exceeds 18 million visitors, NO if below.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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