Which AI lab's model will be the first to solve a Millennium Problem?
20
Ṁ2kṀ7.6k2034
93%
OpenAI
3%
Anthropic
1.5%
DeepMind
0.8%
xAI
1.4%
Resolves to the company whose AI model is credited with doing the majority of the work in the first solution to any of the six unsolved Millennium Prize Problems. Resolves on Clay Institute announcement or earlier on broad expert consensus that the proof is correct. Resolves N/A if no AI-led solution by end of 2034. If a claimed solution is under serious review at close, the market will be extended until it's confirmed or rejected.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ5 NO
Everyone is calling each other cheaters and plagiarisers at the moment, or coming up with canned corporate sounding generic nonsense.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the second Millennium Problem solved from now?
96% chance
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2027?
63% chance
Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium
Prize Problem before 2040?
97% chance
Which AI lab's model will be first to solve a Millennium Problem besides Navier–Stokes?
Will the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?
94% chance
Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department?
In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?
2027
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
98% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium
Prize Problem before 2035?
97% chance