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#QuickMarkets Will the US federal government fully reopen by February 12, 2026?
11
Ṁ100Ṁ778
Feb 11
53%
chance
10
  • #QuickMarkets: markets created with deadline of no more than one week, with definitive resolution criteria that allow for no chance of delayed resolution

  • This market resolves to YES if a continuing resolution or a full-year funding bill is signed into law by the President of the United States before 11:59 PM ET on February 12, 2026, effectively ending the partial shutdown.

  • It resolves to NO if the government remains partially shut down at that time.

  • "Fully reopen" is defined as the restoration of funding and operations for the agencies currently affected by the funding standoff.

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