
By end 2024 will there be a useful
and small enough LLM to fit on a wearable pice of technology?
2
Ṁ90Ṁ20Feb 1
36%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Cellphone doesn't count.
Having access to it via internet doesn't count.
A device that connects to your cellphone and streams from it doesn't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030?
86% chance
Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2027?
88% chance
Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?
90% chance
Will there by a major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2027?
45% chance
Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2030?
89% chance
Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2029?
87% chance
Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2028?
75% chance
Will there be a state-of-the-art LLM that is NOT based on next raw token prediction before 2029?
55% chance
In 2030, will most human-computer interactions happen through a LLM-interface?
27% chance
Will LLM inference for the largest models run on analogue circuitry as the primary element of computuation by end 2028?
19% chance