Background

Pierre Poilievre currently leads the Conservative Party of Canada with a net approval rating of -4% (37% approval, 55% disapproval) according to Angus Reid. Historically, new governments often experience a "honeymoon period" with higher initial approval ratings that tend to decline as they face real-world challenges.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on Pierre Poilievre's approval rating exactly one year after winning a majority government, as measured by Angus Reid.

The market will resolve N/A if:

• Poilievre does not win a majority government

• No reliable polling data is available within 2 weeks of the one-year mark

• Poilievre resigns or leaves office before the one-year mark