What country will first denote a nuclear weapon in combat?
8
640Ṁ2743050
36%
Russia
20%
United Kingdom
11%
9%
France
7%
Israel
4%
India
4%
United States
2%
North Korea
2%
Pakistan
1.9%
China
If no weapon is ever detonate, this market will remain open indefinitely.
If there's uncertainty as to responsibility, then I will resolve to whichever country the weapon was housed in. For example, if an ostensibly Russian-operated weapon is launched from Belarus, and both countries deny responsibility, this market will resolve to Belarus.
Betting policy: I expect resolution to be pretty much unambiguous, so I'll bet in this market unrestrictedly.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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