In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world? | Manifold

In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?

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2043

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Linked to the ACX post "Declining Sperm Count: Much More Than You Wanted To Know". If in 20 years, a brief review of the evidence convinces me that the sperm count decline was substantially real, I will resolve this YES. This is true even if the decline has stopped by 2043 (ie scientists then believe it was declining now, but is no longer declining at that time).

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Related questions

Conditional on a consensus 20 years from now that sperm count has been declining, what will scientists believe was the most important factor?

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Will the causal factors for the global secular decline in men's testosterone levels become clear by 2028?

Will the WHO state that there is conclusive evidence that microplastics exposure reduces human fertility by 2026?

Will evidence come to light by 2028 that microplastics have meaningfully lowered testosterone levels? (READ DESCRIPTION)

Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2028?

Will the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?

Will more than 1% of young men ages 25-35 in any of the following Western countries die during a single calendar year before 2030?

Will Amish fertility drop below 5 children per women by the end of 2040?

Will fewer than 100 million babies be born worldwide in any calendar year before 2040?

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