Will the US suffer 1000 confirmed combat deaths in Iran in 2026? | Manifold

Will the US suffer 1000 confirmed combat deaths in Iran in 2026?

19

Ṁ1kṀ5.4k

Dec 31

10%

chance

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6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

According to the US's self-reported number on Wikipedia on Jan 1, 2027 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iran_war

Market context

Israel-Iran Conflict

Iranian Politics

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