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MANIFOLD
What will One Nation's support be on the 1st of July 2026?
4
Ṁ1kṀ2.6k
Jul 1
12%
Above 35%
42%
30 - 34 %
35%
25 - 29 %
5%
20 - 24 %
4%
15 - 19 %
3%
Below 15%

The answer will be adjudicated according to any poll published, for example:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Australian_federal_election

I will consider the average of all polls in the 2 weeks up to and including the 30th of June 2026, and that average will be the result of this market.

Market context
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