MANIFOLD
Will Japan win the 2026 World Cup?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ298
Jul 19
4%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Japan wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The tournament runs from June 11–July 19, 2026, with the final on July 19 at New York New Jersey Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Resolution will be determined by the official FIFA tournament results published at https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026/.

Background

Japan became the first non-host team to book its spot for the 2026 FIFA World Cup after finishing at the top of its group during the Asian qualifying phase. The national team has qualified for every FIFA World Cup since 1998, advancing to the knockout stage in 2002, 2010, 2018, and 2022. Japan's coach Hajime Moriyasu guided Japan to the 2022 World Cup Round of 16 with landmark wins over Germany and Spain.

Japan is in Group F and will face the Netherlands, Tunisia and the winner of the UEFA Playoff B. The 2026 tournament expanded to 48 teams, with teams split into twelve groups of four teams, with the top two teams in each group and the eight best third-placed teams progressing to a new round of 32.

Considerations

Japan is considered one of the dark horses after an impressive tournament four years ago, though the Japanese squad is expected to travel with a relatively inexperienced defense for the 2026 World Cup. Takefusa Kubo from Real Sociedad and Kaoru Mitoma from Brighton are among the most lethal wingers in Europe, representing Japan's primary attacking strength.

This description was generated by AI.

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