Conditional on the US introducing AI safety regulations, will China "win the AI race"? | Manifold

Conditional on the US introducing AI safety regulations, will China "win the AI race"?

7

Ṁ70Ṁ232

resolved Oct 18

Resolved

N/A

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This is an e/acc argument, so you might want to ask them for precise resolution criteria. I'm just the messenger.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will China nerf its AI industry before the US does?

Which country will win the AI race by 2030?

By 2030 will China have reached AI flops/$ parity with the US?

Will China beat the US in Robotics in 2030?

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

By 2027, will there be a US-China bilateral AI agreement, negotiated partly by an AI mediator?

If Trump wins, will the US government enact legislation that significantly slows down AI progress?

Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?

Will the US enact high-skilled immigration reform to help win the AI race against China?

By 2030 will regulations or laws make it prohibitively difficult to develop AI models in the United States?

Related questions

Will China nerf its AI industry before the US does?

Which country will win the AI race by 2030?

By 2030 will China have reached AI flops/$ parity with the US?

Will China beat the US in Robotics in 2030?

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

By 2027, will there be a US-China bilateral AI agreement, negotiated partly by an AI mediator?

If Trump wins, will the US government enact legislation that significantly slows down AI progress?

Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?

Will the US enact high-skilled immigration reform to help win the AI race against China?

By 2030 will regulations or laws make it prohibitively difficult to develop AI models in the United States?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy