
Will AI/foundation models be able to extract the exponential parameter alpha of an exponential plot by EOY 2025?
2
Ṁ90Ṁ20Jan 1
64%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
eg plot of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_distribution#/media/File:Exponential_distribution_pdf_-_public_domain.svg but yuo dont know the lambda, you just have the axis labels
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
xAI IPOs by EOY 2026?
80% chance
Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon that is an 1 hour and 30 minutes by September 2026?
84% chance
Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?
25% chance
[ACX 2026] Will an AI model reach a 3 hour time horizon with 80% reliability during 2026?
58% chance
Will I Think Extropic AI Accelerated Timelines by EOY 2027?
10% chance
By EOY 2026, will it seem as if deep learning hit a wall by EOY 2025?
13% chance
Will AI be able to accurately do my taxes by EOY 2026?
60% chance
Tesla buys xAI by EOY2026?
13% chance
Will the "AI Longbets Turing Test by 2029" market go above 80% by EOY 2026?
67% chance
Will AI be able to fully generate excel-based, 3-statement financial valuation models on a public stock by end of 2026?
85% chance