
What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
13
Ṁ200Ṁ1.1k2029
0.6%
2025
1%
2026
28%
2027
44%
2028
20%
2029
7%
2030 or later
Tadej Pogacar and Jonas Vingegaard are two of the most dominant GC riders in recent cycling history. They have placed first and second in the last four (2021-24) consecutive Tours de France.
Resolves YES to the first year in which the Tour de France is held and a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the general classification. If no other rider wins the Tour by 2029, then the market will resolve YES to 2030 or later.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Tour de France 2027 Winner
What will be the first year Tadej Pogacar does NOT start the Tour de France?
Who will be the Next First-Time Tour de France Winner?
Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France?
80% chance
Which riders will win a Grand Tour of Cycling during their careers?