Who will believe in AGI first, Manifold (Yes) or OpenAI (No)? | Manifold

Who will believe in AGI first, Manifold (Yes) or OpenAI (No)?

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2030

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Which will be true first:

YES:

NO:

OpenAI announces they (or someone else) have achieved AGI

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Will OpenAI claim that it has achieved AGI in 2025?

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

Will OpenAI hint at [read description] or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

When will manifold users think we have AGI? [Resolves to a majority yes in poll]

When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?

Manifold users agree first announced AGI is AGI?

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

Do OpenAI leadership actually believe they could develop AGI?

Related questions

Will OpenAI claim that it has achieved AGI in 2025?

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

Will OpenAI hint at [read description] or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

When will manifold users think we have AGI? [Resolves to a majority yes in poll]

When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?

Manifold users agree first announced AGI is AGI?

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

Do OpenAI leadership actually believe they could develop AGI?

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