What percent of EV batteries will be manufactured in China in 2026?
6
Ṁ255Ṁ2032027
4%
Between 0% and 50%, inclusive
7%
More than 50% and less than 60%
14%
Between 60% and 67%, inclusive
48%
More than 67% and less than 75%
14%
Between 75% and 83%, inclusive
9%
More than 83% and less than 90%
4%
90% or more
This will resolve based on manufacturing capacity (GWh) as reported by Bloomberg NEF or someone like them.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 70 percent on June 30, 2026?
55% chance
Will Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 55 percent on June 30, 2026?
43% chance
Will Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 35 percent on June 30, 2026?
68% chance
Will new energy vehicles (BEV, PHEV, FCEV) make for more than 45% of new cars in 2027 in China?
89% chance
What percentage (%) of ASML's sales in 2026 will be from China?
Will LFP batteries account for more than 65% of global electric vehicle battery production (by GWh) in 2026?
35% chance
Will Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 70 percent on September 30, 2026?
57% chance
Will Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 35 percent on September 30, 2026?
57% chance
Will Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 55 percent on September 30, 2026?
57% chance
Will EV batteries cost less than 1000 USD in 2030?
19% chance