MANIFOLD
How many markets will @Mira create in 2024?
8
Ṁ420Ṁ217
resolved Jan 1
84%6%
50
16%5%
25
15%
0
5%
10
12%
100
13%
150
20%
200
22%Other

The Market Count is the number of markets created by @Mira in 2024(PST time zone).

Resolves to the Market Count as the linear interpolation between nearest bounding answers, or 100% to an option if it is exact.

Example: There are 125 markets. Then this market resolves to (125 - 100) / (150-100) = 50% 100 and 50% 150.

New options will be added at about 50% more than the previous largest, as needed.

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● Combined totals:
  - Mira_: 0 markets in 2024
  - Mira: 46 markets in 2024
  - Total: 46 markets

  This falls between 25 and 50.

  Linear interpolation:
  (46 - 25) / (50 - 25) = 21 / 25 = 84%

  Resolution:
  - 16% to 25
  - 84% to 50

From Claude.

@creator can we get clarification on which Mira this refers to now that you've switched handles?

@Mira @Mira_

Any markets on any of my accounts count. But @Mira_ will likely have 0 markets because it's in debt and can't make any.

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