This market resolves YES if China rhenium imports exceeds 20 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027.

What is being measured: China's total rhenium imports (all forms, Re content equivalent) for the calendar year ending December 2027, as reported by GACC or USGS.

YES if: China total Re imports >= 20 thousand kg for the year NO if: China total Re imports < 20 thousand kg for the year Resolution sources (priority order):

GACC (China General Administration of Customs) — HS 2841.90 + HS 8112.41 import data

USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — rhenium section (world trade tables)

Wood Mackenzie or CRU Group — China rhenium demand and trade estimates

Bloomberg Intelligence or Reuters reporting on Chinese critical mineral procurement