Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, as of December 31, 2025, Argentina's year-on-year inflation rate is lower than Turkey's. The primary sources for verification will be the official statistics agencies of each country:

• Argentina: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos (INDEC)

• Turkey: Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat)

Background

As of mid-2025, both Argentina and Turkey have been implementing policies to combat high inflation:

• Argentina: Under President Javier Milei, Argentina has pursued aggressive fiscal consolidation and market-oriented reforms. These measures have led to a significant reduction in inflation.

• Turkey: Turkey's central bank has engaged in monetary tightening, raising interest rates to curb inflation.