When will some country do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
9
820Ṁ3362300
15%
2040
13%
2035
12%
2030
10%
2045
7%
2065
5%
2050
5%
2060
4%
2055
4%
2070
3%
3%
2090
3%
2080
3%
2085
3%
2095
3%
2100
3%
2075
2%
2025
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9785/10-embryo-selection-for-iq-when/
Rounded to nearest 5th year. i.e. acceptable answers = 2050, 2055, 2060, etc
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Singapore be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
28% chance
Will there be significant legal action against embryo selection in the US by 2028?
23% chance
Which country will be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
18% chance
Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
59% chance
What will be the first country to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
Will Singapore be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
68% chance
Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
42% chance
What will be the first ten countries to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
7% chance