Which chess players will be ranked as No. 1 player in the world at any point in their life?
16
1kṀ10532200
63%
Arjun Erigaisi
61%
Alireza Firouzja
59%
Dommaraju Gukesh
53%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
36%
R Praggnanandhaa
35%
Fabiano Caruana
17%
Vincent Keymer
16%
Ding Liren
13%
Hikaru Nakamura
10%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
List of FIDE chess world number ones (Wikipedia)
Since the FIDE rating list inception there were a total of seven players holding the number one spot at any point in their careers, as of April 2024. Which other players will manage to join the club?
Anyone is welcome to add answers, duplicates will be removed.
Only the rating list considered the most "respectable" will be taken into account, which today (2024) is the FIDE Standard rating.
Will be resolved Yes the moment a respective player becomes worlds No. 1, and No the moment a player is both at least 50 years old and is retired, or, well, if a player dies earlier.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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