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It overturned the Ukrainisn peace deal clarification in 2025

@Areal Wow. Someone needs to write up a comprehensive document on this and other UMA controversies.

@YourFriend UMA is it's own community, it was a kind of independent from Polymarket before August 2025.

After short list for proposals changes, as previous UMA holders sold their stakes

I found it: https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-agrees-to-give-trump-rare-earth-metals-before-april

Mineral deal, not peace deal

@Areal can create a same question for 2026))

To the people buying yes, this doesn't count. UMA decided that the clarification was correct, but interpreted it as applying only for proposals after 4AM local time.

@Mana This next proposal will go P2.

@Mana I read this as meaning that voting P4 on a clarification that said it should resolve P2 would count:

If UMA decides to not resolve a market either in favor or in opposition to a clarification (UMA lets the market stay unresolved by not meeting quorum on the vote) then this will resolve as Yes (as this is equivalent to overturning a Polymarket clarification).

@AaronSimansky The clarification was that a broad consensus of reliable media reported that a ceasefire took place at 4 AM. Both proposals happened before 4 AM. UMA is therefore not contradicting the clarification - they accept it, and have merely interpreted it to mean that only proposals after 4 AM were on time. They will vote P2 this round, but if they don't, this market should definitely resolve yes.

@Mana The most recent proposal was made after 4AM, and the other two were not. That's the crucial difference. Timing matters with UMA. If you propose that team x won a game, and they did win, but when you proposed there were still 37 seconds left on the clock, UMA will P4 you.

haha