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Will the UK extend the National Living Wage to 20-year-olds from April 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ36
Oct 28
59%
chance

Resolution. Resolves YES if the UK government announces, at any point on or before 28 October 2026, that the National Living Wage age threshold falls from 21 to 20 from April 2027. The announcement need not be made in the Budget. The Low Pay Commission consulted on this change in 2026 and reports to government in October.

This market closes at 12:00 UTC on 28 October 2026. Announcements made before then count.

The creator may trade in this market. Resolution follows the sources named above.

The 28 October 2026 deadline stays fixed if the Budget moves. Created by Max Ghenis of PolicyEngine (https://www.policyengine.org/uk) as a public record of what PolicyEngine expected before the Budget.

UK Politics
UK Autumn Budget 2026
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