Which poll will be the most accurate for the Dutch 2025 elections?
4
Ṁ150Ṁ154resolved Oct 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%39%
Maurice de Hond
24%
Ipsos I&O
32%
Verian/Een Vandaag
5%Other
Of all pollsters making polls for the Dutch elections in 2025, who will make the most acuate last poll? I will only count the last poll that they make before the exit poll on election day. Everyone will get a 'score' based on how many seats they predicted wrong. The poll with the least incorrectly predicted seats wins. If two polls have the same number of incorrectly predicted seats, I will choose the one who predicted the order of the parties the best. If there is then still no clear winner, I'll resolve it 50/50.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Polls so far (I don't know if any will still be updated):
Verian/Een Vandaag

23
Ipsos / I&O

23
Maurice de Hond

15
If new polls are still posted, I'll comment again!