Who will be elected Speaker of the House when the new Congress meets in January 2029?

Question

Resolves to the person the U.S. House of Representatives elects Speaker when the 121st Congress first elects one (January 2029 or later), however many ballots it takes. N/A if no Speaker is elected by March 31, 2029.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Hakeem Jeffries, followed by Other and Mike Johnson are most likely. See the market for live updates (2 traders, as of Nov 6, 2026).

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