Balance of power: who will control the presidency, Senate and House after the 2036 US elections?

Question

Resolves to the parties holding the presidency, Senate and House after the November 4, 2036 elections: the President inaugurated on January 20, 2037, and the majority in each chamber when the 125th Congress organizes.

Independents count with the party they caucus with. A 50–50 Senate goes to the party of the Vice President inaugurated on January 20, 2037; a House with no majority, to the Speaker's. It waits for any runoffs or special elections that decide control.

N/A if no listed combination applies.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, D President, D Senate, D House (Democratic trifecta), followed by R President, R Senate, R House (Republican trifecta) and D President, R Senate, R House are most likely. See the market for live updates (0 traders, as of Nov 5, 2026).

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