Will any single datacenter campus reach 2 GW of power capacity by the end of 2027
4
Ṁ100Ṁ452027
39%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Question: Will any single contiguous datacenter campus reach ≥2.0 GW of commissioned critical IT load on or before December 31, 2027?
Scope: A contiguous campus is a unified parcel under a single primary operator; multiple buildings sharing primary power/network infrastructure count as one. Multi-tenant regional parks (e.g., Hohhot) are excluded.
Metric: Commissioned critical IT load — power provisioned (grid or on-site generation) and capable of drawing for compute on the resolution date. Announced/future phases and un-energized shells don't count.
Source: Epoch AI's Frontier Data Centers dataset as primary; SemiAnalysis Datacenter Model as tie-break/corroboration.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will China's total datacenter power capacity surpass the US before 2031?
60% chance
Will any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31?
65% chance
When will there be ≥10GW of data center capacity in space?
Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?
38% chance
Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?
65% chance
Will there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031?
Will U.S. data center electricity consumption exceed 10% of total U.S. power demand by end of 2030?
50% chance
When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational?
Will there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031?
33% chance
Will Lumen Orbit have at least one functioning megawatt-scale data center in space by the end of 2027?
2% chance