This market resolves to YES if Emmanuel Macron officially resigns from his position as President of France before December 31, 2025. It resolves to NO if he remains in office at the end of 2025.

Macron is currently serving his second term as President, which officially began on May 14, 2022, and is scheduled to end in May 2027. However, France is experiencing significant political instability following the collapse of multiple governments. On September 8, 2025, Prime Minister François Bayrou lost a confidence vote, becoming the second PM to be ousted in less than a year.

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve based on official announcements from the Élysée Palace or French government sources confirming Macron's resignation. Major news outlets such as France24 (https://www.france24.com/en/france/) or Al Jazeera (https://www.aljazeera.com/news) can be used to verify the outcome.