Will "Why was the AI Alignment community so unprepa..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ10resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Why was the AI Alignment community so unprepared for this moment? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Alignment Pretraining: AI Discourse Causes Se..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
23% chance
Will "Announcing: OpenAI's Alignment Research Blog" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
6% chance
Will "Pretraining on Aligned AI Data Dramatically R..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Why AIs aren't power-seeking yet" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "What Is The Alignment Problem?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "6 reasons why “alignment-is-hard” discourse s..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "Which side of the AI safety community are you in?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "AI 2027: Responses" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Alignment Faking Revisited: Improved Classifi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Alignment remains a hard, unsolved problem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance