Will "Toward a Broader Definition of Adverse Selection" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
4
Ṁ160Ṁ191Feb 1
93%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Toward a Broader Definition of Adverse Selection is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "The behavioral selection model for predicting..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "We're Not Advertising Enough (Post 3 of 6 on ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "On the Rationality of Deterring ASI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Emergent Introspective Awareness in Large Lan..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Best Reference Works for Every Subject" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Unexpected Things that are People" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The Most Common Bad Argument In These Parts" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
25% chance
Will "An Ambitious Vision for Interpretability" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Abstract advice to researchers tackling the d..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance