
Will "The Checklist: What Succeeding at AI Safety W..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
7
Ṁ1kṀ491Feb 1
42%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The Checklist: What Succeeding at AI Safety Will Involve is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Learnings from AI safety course so far" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Shallow review of technical AI safety, 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "We should try to automate AI safety work asap" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Checking in on AI-2027" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Third-wave AI safety needs sociopolitical thi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "AI Governance to Avoid Extinction: The Strate..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "AI 2027: What Superintelligence Looks Like" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
85% chance
Will "AI safety undervalues founders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Planning for Extreme AI Risks" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Memetics of AI Successionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance