
Will "Simple versus Short: Higher-order degeneracy ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
6
Ṁ1kṀ959Feb 1
91%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Simple versus Short: Higher-order degeneracy and error-correction is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Von Neumann's Fallacy and You" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Are We In A Coding Overhang?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Attribution-based parameter decomposition" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Weird Generalization & Inductive Backdoors" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Reviewing LessWrong: Screwtape's Basic Answer" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "A computational no-coincidence principle" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Reducing LLM deception at scale with self-oth..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Natural Latents: Latent Variables Stable Acro..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Narrow Misalignment is Hard, Emergent Misalig..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance