Will "Research Notes: Running Claude 3.7, Gemini 2...." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
1
Ṁ1kṀ202027
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Research Notes: Running Claude 3.7, Gemini 2.5 Pro, and o3 on Pokémon Red is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will "what makes Claude 3 Opus misaligned" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Insights into Claude Opus 4.5 from Pokémon" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Claude 4.5 Opus' Soul Document" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "So how well is Claude playing Pokémon?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Good Research Takes are Not Sufficient for Go..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Claude's new constitution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Claude Sonnet 3.7 (often) knows when it’s in ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "How I've run major projects" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Gemini 3 is Evaluation-Paranoid and Contaminated" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "What We Learned Trying to Diff Base and Chat ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance