
Will "Parkinson's Law and the Ideology of Statistics" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ602027
32%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Parkinson's Law and the Ideology of Statistics is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "The main way I've seen people turn ideologica..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Give Me Your Data: The Rationalist Mind Meld" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "That Mad Olympiad" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "PSA: The LessWrong Feedback Service" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Von Neumann's Fallacy and You" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "The Intelligence Curse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Three Months In, Evaluating Three Rationalist..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "A History of the Future, 2025-2040" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "How Well Does RL Scale?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance