Will "How To Become A Mechanistic Interpretability ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
3
Ṁ1kṀ3102027
50%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post How To Become A Mechanistic Interpretability Researcher is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will "A Pragmatic Vision for Interpretability" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Scalable End-to-End Interpretability" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "An Ambitious Vision for Interpretability" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Interpretability Will Not Reliably Find Decep..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "Mechanisms too simple for humans to design" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
71% chance
Will "Mech interp is not pre-paradigmatic" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "Anthropic, and taking "technical philosophy" ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "The Possessed Machines (summary)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
39% chance
Will "Attribution-based parameter decomposition" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Recontextualization Mitigates Specification G..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance