Will "Do Not Tile the Lightcone with Your Confused ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5
Ṁ1kṀ4342027
21%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Do Not Tile the Lightcone with Your Confused Ontology is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Toss a bitcoin to your Lightcone – LW + Light..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "The Best Lack All Conviction: A Confusing Day..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "A computational no-coincidence principle" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Reviewing LessWrong: Screwtape's Basic Answer" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "Do Not Render Your Counterfactuals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "This is a review of the reviews" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "You Can Just Buy Far-UVC" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "On Owning Galaxies" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "Von Neumann's Fallacy and You" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Will Any Crap Cause Emergent Misalignment?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance