Will "Dialogue introduction to Singular Learning Theory" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ106Feb 1
9%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Dialogue introduction to Singular Learning Theory is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Subliminal Learning: LLMs Transmit Behavioral..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Tracing the Thoughts of a Large Language Model" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "From SLT to AIT: NN generalisation out-of-dis..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "OpenAI #10: Reflections" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "How AI Is Learning to Think in Secret" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "Have LLMs Generated Novel Insights?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Deep learning as program synthesis" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Auditing language models for hidden objectives" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Alignment Pretraining: AI Discourse Causes Se..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
23% chance
Will "What We Learned Trying to Diff Base and Chat ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance