Will "Acausal normalcy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
4
Ṁ70Ṁ36resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Acausal normalcy is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ4 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Unexpected Things that are People" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The Eldritch in the 21st century" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Catastrophe through Chaos" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Natural Latents: Latent Variables Stable Acro..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Natural emergent misalignment from reward hac..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Good if make prior after data instead of before" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Weird Generalization & Inductive Backdoors" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "A computational no-coincidence principle" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Precedents for the Unprecedented: Historical ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
15% chance